The central government's oversight efforts have begun to show some positive results for regional and local governments (RLGs). However, RLGs will continue to have incentives to assume additional debt.

Emerging market corporate sectors face some common risks in 2019, including slower global growth, variable market sentiment, shifts in trade policies, and geopolitical and ESG risks.

In this episode of Moody’s Talks - Senior Credit Officer William Foster and Senior Analyst David Rogovic of the sovereign risk group discuss the credit implications of China’s Belt and Road Initiative on sovereigns in Asia and Sub-Saharan Africa.

A continued pause in rate hikes and better sentiment could help extend the economic expansion, but slower growth, market volatility and policy uncertainty are tempering credit conditions.

The exact credit implications will rest primarily on whether the future government will be able to command the legislative majority and internal consensus needed to advance structural reform.

As borrowers continue to choose loans over bonds, lenders may be surprised to find out just how ineffective current loan call protections are, if they exist at all.

The shift in US interest rate expectations will likely promote interest rate and currency stability in larger Latin American economies with well-anchored inflation expectations.

The credit implications of the disclosure of unreported financial liabilities depend on their scale, schedule of payments, denominated currency and the contractual seniority.

Chinese commodity, food and beverage, and manufacturing companies have the most direct and indirect exposure to US tariffs. Financial effect of tariffs will likely appear in H1 2019 results.

Increased US tariffs on about $200 billion of imports from China to 25% from 10% significantly escalates the US-China trade dispute.

Robert Jankowitz and Elena Duggar discuss the potential 25% US tariffs on autos and parts that could have significant risk to global growth and the global auto industry.

Our latest Global Trade Monitor discuss implications of potential US tariffs on imported autos and parts, the prospect of a US-China trade agreement, and the likelihood that ratification of the US-Mexico-Canada Agreement will be delayed beyond 2019.

Formation of a new majority government coalition will be difficult, making it less probable that the tax relief package in the government's reform agenda will be passed.

Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar and Iraq, and to a lesser extent, Saudi Arabia and the UAE, depend on the Strait to transport oil and gas exports, exposing them to geopolitical risk.

Structurally low growth, fiscal strength eroding but a number of factors insulate the sovereign's credit profile from financing shocks.

Colin Ellis discusses the positive implications of the latest Brexit extension. However, he highlights the UK government’s failure to achieve consensus and what it means for Moody’s base case scenario for the UK.

Australian fintech firms have the potential to disrupt segments of the banking system where incumbents have underserved but major banks are well positioned to defend their positions.

Analysts from our structured finance consumer team discuss how technological enhancements in retail credit underwriting have the potential to improve overall underwriting quality for European lenders.

Senior Vice President Robard Williams speaks with Managing Director Derek Vadala about cyber risk-related trends, Moody’s framework for assessing these risks, and potential implications for creditworthiness across sectors.

With greater ease of capturing funds and attracting investment, smaller independent managers in Brazil will continue to gain AUM given their focus on multimarket and equities.

Issuers brought $47.2 billion of green bonds to market globally in the first quarter of 2019, a 40% increase over the first quarter of last year.

We discuss the credit implications of a significant shift in opportunities now under way in the North American natural gas market—one that will gradually favor producers who have long struggled with weak commodity prices.

Low-cost climate financing is poised to grow and support climate resiliency in climate-vulnerable sovereigns, offsetting some of the economic and fiscal costs that would occur in its absence.

Risks from weak corporate governance undermine the credit profiles of a significant number of banks in the region.